What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 22 May 1952 → 26 Oct 1952 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 08 May 1949 → 04 Sep 1949 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 01 Aug 1948 → 24 Oct 1948 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 28 May 2006 → 20 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 09 May 1954 → 08 Aug 1954 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 24 May 1953 → 23 Aug 1953 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 01 Jul 1957 → 20 Oct 1957 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 19 May 2007 → 24 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 20 May 1951 → 01 Jul 1951 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 07 May 1950 → 01 Jul 1950 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 126 | 30 | 23.8% | 2 | 10 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 98 | 10 | 10.2% | 1 | 7 |
| 1. divisjon | 60 | 14 | 23.3% | 5 | 10 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 7 |
| 2006 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1957 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 1956 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1954 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1953 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1952 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 17 |
| 1951 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 6 |
| 1950 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 1949 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 12 |
| 1948 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1945 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1940 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 284 matches (Aug 1933 – Aug 2026), FK Sparta Sarpsborg drew 54 where the draw model expected 55.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 57.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.