What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 10 Sep 2006 → 27 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 30 Nov 2007 → 23 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 12 Aug 1999 → 15 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 29 Nov 1998 → 09 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 25 Feb 2017 → 12 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 01 Nov 2020 → 24 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 26 Nov 2017 → 10 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 20 Oct 1996 → 23 Feb 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 29 Nov 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 24 Feb 2018 → 06 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 785 | 185 | 23.6% | 3 | 20 |
| KNVB Cup | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 2025 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2019 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 10 |
| 2017 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2016 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2009 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2008 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 13 |
| 2007 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2006 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 20 |
| 2005 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2002 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2000 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 32 | 3 | 9.4% | 16 |
| 1998 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 1997 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1996 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 1995 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 4 |
| 1994 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 1993 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 344 matches (Sep 2015 – Nov 2026), Sparta Rotterdam drew 84 where the draw model expected 76.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 78.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.