What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 21 Apr 2018 → 04 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 01 Dec 2019 → 28 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 04 May 2019 → 20 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 30 Aug 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 06 May 2023 → 08 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 11 Mar 2017 → 25 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 03 Mar 2019 → 20 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 01 Nov 2020 → 12 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 02 Nov 2024 → 07 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 20 Nov 2021 → 18 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 156 | 55 | 35.3% | 3 | 9 |
| Serie A | 114 | 28 | 24.6% | 2 | 16 |
| Serie C | 76 | 24 | 31.6% | 1 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 41 | 19 | 46.3% | 3 |
| 2021 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 2020 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2019 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 2018 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 18 |
| 2017 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2016 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 366 matches (Aug 2015 – Apr 2025), Spal drew 111 where the draw model expected 104.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 108.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.