What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 Sep 2021 → 06 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 23 Sep 2019 → 09 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 09 Mar 2008 → 22 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 31 Jan 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 20 Oct 2015 → 10 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 29 Sep 2002 → 05 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 01 May 2005 → 16 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 04 Dec 2023 → 19 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 13 Aug 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 01 Sep 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 1066 | 230 | 21.6% | 3 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 201 | 48 | 23.9% | 1 | 11 |
| UEFA Champions League | 128 | 26 | 20.3% | 4 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Taça de Portugal | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 0 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 13 |
| 2023 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 14 |
| 2021 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 20 |
| 2020 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 15 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 17 |
| 2017 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 11 |
| 2015 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2014 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 13 |
| 2011 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2010 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2009 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 18 |
| 2007 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2006 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2005 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 15 |
| 2004 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2003 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2002 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2001 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 9 |
| 2000 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1999 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 12 |
| 1996 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 12 |
| 1995 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 4 |
| 1994 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1964 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 546 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Sporting CP drew 102 where the draw model expected 106.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.