What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 17 Dec 2016 → 11 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 14 Nov 2015 → 02 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 30 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Apr 2013 → 07 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 25 Feb 2017 → 04 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 05 Nov 2011 → 17 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 23 Apr 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 14 Mar 2015 → 14 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 05 Mar 2013 → 26 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 20 Aug 2011 → 17 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 410 | 107 | 26.1% | 0 | 9 |
| FA Cup | 159 | 35 | 22.0% | 1 | 6 |
| League Cup | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2017 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 7 |
| 2015 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2012 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 2011 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2005 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 4 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1965 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1882 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 119 matches (Jan 2015 – Dec 2018), Southport drew 31 where the draw model expected 30.6 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 30.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.