What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 03 Jan 2026 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 29 Mar 2025 → 10 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 24 Nov 2024 → 05 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 23 Mar 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 08 Oct 2023 → 29 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 09 Nov 2025 → 29 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 11 Oct 2024 → 31 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 31 Aug 2024 → 25 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 11 Feb 2024 → 26 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 07 Jan 2024 → 29 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 110 | 29 | 26.4% | 0 | 13 |
| Coppa Italia | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 13 |
| 2025 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2024 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 111 matches (Sep 2023 – Apr 2026), Sorrento drew 29 where the draw model expected 34.3 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.