What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 Sep 2010 → 26 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 21 Dec 2024 → 02 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 19 Dec 2019 → 10 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 08 Sep 2022 → 03 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 10 Jan 2012 → 01 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 18 Apr 2021 → 12 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 26 Sep 2020 → 22 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 25 Aug 2019 → 03 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 07 Mar 2011 → 15 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 29 Jan 2006 → 01 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1159 | 310 | 26.8% | 7 | 23 |
| Segunda División | 126 | 44 | 34.9% | 5 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 85 | 20 | 23.5% | 1 | 9 |
| Copa del Rey | 78 | 19 | 24.4% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Supercopa de España | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 55 | 11 | 20.0% | 16 |
| 2024 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 10 |
| 2023 | 57 | 18 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 12 |
| 2020 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 15 |
| 2019 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2017 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2016 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2015 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2014 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2011 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 16 |
| 2009 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 11 |
| 2005 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2003 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1998 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 1997 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 1996 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1993 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 587 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Real Sociedad drew 148 where the draw model expected 149.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 148.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.