What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 26 Jul 2021 → 21 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 03 Jun 2023 → 29 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 15 Feb 2026 → 10 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 13 Nov 2022 → 22 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 14 Mar 2021 → 07 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 05 Oct 2025 → 21 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 21 May 2022 → 14 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 26 Aug 2019 → 05 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 17 Aug 2025 → 22 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 29 Nov 2020 → 27 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 180 | 40 | 22.2% | 0 | 15 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2025 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 3 |
| 2023 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 14 |
| 2022 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 29 | 3 | 10.3% | 15 |
| 2020 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 6 |
Over 182 matches (Jul 2019 – May 2026), PFC Sochi drew 41 where the draw model expected 46.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 46.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.