What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 08 May 2023 → 21 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 23 May 2018 → 02 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 29 Jul 2017 → 15 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 Aug 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Aug 2025 → 05 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 26 May 2024 → 11 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Apr 2019 → 30 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 11 Nov 2018 → 20 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 10 Nov 2024 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 15 Aug 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 298 | 67 | 22.5% | 2 | 21 |
| Swedish Cup | 86 | 18 | 20.9% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2024 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2023 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 22 |
| 2022 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2018 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2017 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2014 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 353 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), IK Sirius drew 82 where the draw model expected 82.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 84.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.