What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 354 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Silkeborg IF drew 85 where the draw model expected 84.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 87.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 20 Feb 2022 → 22 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Jul 2022 → 06 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 27 Nov 2023 → 29 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 Aug 2023 → 20 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Apr 2017 → 11 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 22 Apr 2026 → 17 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 Apr 2024 → 20 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 07 Dec 2025 → 06 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 07 May 2025 → 03 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 23 Oct 2022 → 19 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 339 | 85 | 25.1% | 1 | 15 |
| Danish Cup | 59 | 11 | 18.6% | 5 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 40 | 3 | 7.5% | 15 |
| 2021 | 19 | 10 | 52.6% | 4 |
| 2020 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2016 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 3 |
| 2015 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 2014 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 11:00 |
Esbjerg fB
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.8% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.