What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 20 Feb 2022 → 22 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Jul 2022 → 06 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 27 Nov 2023 → 29 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 Aug 2023 → 20 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Apr 2017 → 11 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 22 Apr 2026 → 17 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 Apr 2024 → 20 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 07 Dec 2025 → 06 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 07 May 2025 → 03 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 23 Oct 2022 → 19 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 342 | 87 | 25.4% | 0 | 15 |
| Danish Cup | 59 | 11 | 18.6% | 5 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2025 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 40 | 3 | 7.5% | 15 |
| 2021 | 19 | 10 | 52.6% | 4 |
| 2020 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2016 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 3 |
| 2015 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 2014 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 358 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Silkeborg IF drew 87 where the draw model expected 85.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 88.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.