What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 03 Aug 2013 → 15 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 11 Apr 2018 → 15 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 19 Aug 2020 → 14 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 15 Jun 2019 → 17 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 10 Mar 2012 → 06 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 05 Aug 2017 → 23 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 12 Jul 2014 → 23 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 27 Apr 2013 → 13 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 30 Nov 2019 → 18 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 25 Aug 2018 → 20 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 393 | 95 | 24.2% | 2 | 19 |
| Emperor's Cup | 78 | 18 | 23.1% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2025 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 13 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 17 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 19 |
| 2012 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Over 318 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Shimizu S-Pulse drew 79 where the draw model expected 79.1 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 77.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.