What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 24 Oct 2022 → 26 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 28 Jul 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 29 Jun 2022 → 30 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 27 Jul 2021 → 24 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 09 Sep 2020 → 16 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 26 Jul 2020 → 20 Aug 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 26 Apr 2019 → 01 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 29 Jun 2023 → 16 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 04 Jun 2022 → 21 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 24 May 2023 → 08 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 136 | 24 | 17.7% | 12 | 17 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 12 |
| 2022 | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | 15 |
| 2021 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 2019 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2003 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 149 matches (Apr 2015 – Nov 2023), Shenzhen drew 27 where the draw model expected 35.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 37.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.