What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 Jun 2025 → 31 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 06 Mar 2026 → 02 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 02 Nov 2024 → 20 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 21 Jul 2024 → 28 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 24 May 2026 → 18 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 26 May 2024 → 29 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 26 Jul 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 05 May 2024 → 16 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 10 Mar 2019 → 17 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 17 Oct 2026 → 24 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 89 | 16 | 18.0% | 2 | 18 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 25 | 11 | 44.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2025 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 17 |
| 2024 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
Over 114 matches (Mar 2018 – Oct 2026), Shenzhen Xinpengcheng drew 27 where the draw model expected 25.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.