What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 01 Nov 2017 → 19 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 20 Oct 2016 → 12 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 14 Aug 2015 → 25 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 06 Mar 2021 → 21 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 22 Feb 2024 → 15 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 15 Sep 2010 → 21 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 20 Apr 2026 → 05 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 26 May 2019 → 18 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 27 May 2007 → 04 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 01 May 2016 → 28 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 328 | 54 | 16.5% | 1 | 28 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 164 | 31 | 18.9% | 2 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 160 | 35 | 21.9% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 107 | 20 | 18.7% | 0 | 11 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 15 |
| 2025 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2024 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 16 |
| 2023 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 2022 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 17 |
| 2020 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 15 |
| 2018 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 17 |
| 2017 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 16 |
| 2015 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 18 |
| 2014 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2012 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2010 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 13 |
| 2006 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2004 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 2003 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2000 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1999 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1996 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1995 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
Over 493 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), Shakhtar Donetsk drew 93 where the draw model expected 94.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 118.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.