What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 18 Feb 2017 → 22 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 09 Sep 2017 → 18 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 12 Dec 2015 → 01 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 27 Sep 2014 → 06 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 03 Feb 2020 → 03 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 13 Jun 2020 → 04 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 11 Apr 2015 → 23 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 04 May 2019 → 30 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 05 Nov 2016 → 16 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 27 Oct 2019 → 30 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 240 | 71 | 29.6% | 3 | 12 |
| DFB-Pokal | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 39 | 19 | 48.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2016 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 223 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), SG Sonnenhof Großaspach drew 67 where the draw model expected 61.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 61.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.