What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 24 Jul 2021 → 22 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 10 Apr 2022 → 30 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 04 Dec 2021 → 26 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 16 Mar 1996 → 12 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 03 Dec 1995 → 02 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 25 Feb 2023 → 16 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 20 Aug 1995 → 24 Sep 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 04 Feb 2022 → 13 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 18 Jan 2023 → 11 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 25 Jul 2026 → 08 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 102 | 14 | 13.7% | 0 | 13 |
| Belgian Cup | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 12 |
| 2021 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 13 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 8 |
| 1995 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 123 matches (Aug 1994 – Aug 2026), RFC Seraing drew 19 where the draw model expected 26.6 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.