NOR · Club

Selbak TIF ☆

Statistics
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,451 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,614 reached 15 Aug 1937
Rank #13,840 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 145 last 5 May 2004

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Norwegian Football Cup 117 24 20.5%
Eliteserien 28 12 42.9%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2004 1 0 0.0% 1
1997 1 0 0.0% 1
1995 1 1 100.0% 0
1994 1 0 0.0% 1
1993 1 0 0.0% 1
1991 1 0 0.0% 1
1990 2 0 0.0% 2
1989 2 0 0.0% 2
1988 1 0 0.0% 1
1976 1 0 0.0% 1
1973 3 2 66.7% 1
1968 2 1 50.0% 1
1965 3 1 33.3% 1
1964 1 0 0.0% 1
1962 1 1 100.0% 0
1961 2 0 0.0% 2
1960 1 0 0.0% 1
1959 4 1 25.0% 2
1958 2 0 0.0% 2
1957 3 0 0.0% 3
1956 2 0 0.0% 2
1955 2 1 50.0% 1
1954 2 2 100.0% 0
1953 2 1 50.0% 1
1952 5 2 40.0% 2
1951 11 5 45.5% 5
1950 16 3 18.8% 9
1949 12 6 50.0% 3
1948 2 0 0.0% 2
1947 7 2 28.6% 3
1946 6 1 16.7% 5
1945 2 1 50.0% 1
1940 2 0 0.0% 2
1939 2 0 0.0% 2
1938 3 1 33.3% 2
1937 3 0 0.0% 3
1936 4 1 25.0% 3
1935 4 0 0.0% 4
1934 3 0 0.0% 3
1933 3 0 0.0% 3
1932 3 0 0.0% 3
1931 2 0 0.0% 2
1930 3 0 0.0% 3
1929 3 2 66.7% 1
1928 3 0 0.0% 3
1927 4 1 25.0% 2

Over 145 matches (Jul 1927 – May 2004), Selbak TIF drew 36 where the draw model expected 22.5 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 3.1 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of Selbak TIF.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 23.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.