What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 24 Apr 2004 → 10 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 18 Jan 2003 → 08 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 01 May 1999 → 19 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 06 May 2011 → 20 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 19 Oct 2002 → 14 Dec 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 16 Dec 1998 → 03 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 25 Apr 2008 → 15 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 15 Apr 2005 → 27 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 25 Jan 2005 → 04 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 19 Aug 2003 → 20 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 380 | 132 | 34.7% | 0 | 13 |
| Ligue 1 | 178 | 57 | 32.0% | 1 | 12 |
| Coupe de France | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2012 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2011 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2008 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 2005 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 13 |
| 2003 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 12 |
| 2002 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 9 |
| 2001 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 1999 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 1998 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 5 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 592 matches (Sep 1961 – Apr 2021), CS Sedan Ardennes drew 196 where the draw model expected 176.3 from those particular fixtures — about 20 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 173.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.