What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 461 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Seattle Sounders drew 112 where the draw model expected 119.0 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 21 Jul 2018 → 21 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 20 Jun 2015 → 06 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 23 Jun 2024 → 16 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 26 May 2019 → 05 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 25 Jun 2022 → 15 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 16 Aug 2021 → 17 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 17 Apr 2016 → 25 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 24 Aug 2014 → 11 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 31 May 2014 → 16 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 09 May 2013 → 14 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 542 | 129 | 23.8% | 5 | 21 |
| US Open Cup | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 3 | 4 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2025 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2018 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 18 |
| 2017 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2015 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 2014 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2012 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
New England Revolution
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 02:30 |
Seattle Sounders
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 02:30 |
San Diego FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 02:30 |
Seattle Sounders
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 21:30 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Seattle Sounders
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.