What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 03 Aug 2025 → 07 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 15 Feb 2002 → 13 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 15 Jul 2017 → 25 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 02 Apr 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 26 Oct 2001 → 16 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 04 Mar 2026 → 07 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 06 Nov 2017 → 25 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 14 Oct 2017 → 28 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 29 Apr 2016 → 21 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 11 Sep 2015 → 03 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regionalliga Bayern | 70 | 22 | 31.4% | 1 | 7 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 2 | 23 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 2 | 9 |
| DFB-Pokal | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 20 | 0 | 0.0% | 20 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 4 |
| 2015 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 4 |
| 2002 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 9 |
| 2001 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
Over 113 matches (Jul 2015 – May 2026), 1. FC Schweinfurt 05 drew 28 where the draw model expected 27.8 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 29.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.