What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 04 Oct 2014 → 17 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 05 Apr 2026 → 16 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 23 Aug 2025 → 13 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 10 Sep 2022 → 24 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 13 Mar 2021 → 08 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 27 Jan 2018 → 18 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 05 Mar 2022 → 07 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 31 Jul 2011 → 15 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 28 Feb 2009 → 13 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 19 Aug 2006 → 29 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 994 | 270 | 27.2% | 1 | 16 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 136 | 27 | 19.9% | 7 | 16 |
| UEFA Europa League | 100 | 26 | 26.0% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 75 | 17 | 22.7% | 5 | 7 |
| DFB-Pokal | 64 | 9 | 14.1% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 5 |
| DFL-Supercup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 2025 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 13 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2021 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2020 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 9 |
| 2018 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 13 |
| 2017 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 11 |
| 2015 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2014 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 2013 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2011 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2010 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2007 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2003 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2002 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2001 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2000 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1999 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 5 |
| 1998 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 1997 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 12 |
| 1996 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 12 |
| 1995 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 1994 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
Over 487 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Schalke 04 drew 118 where the draw model expected 118.2 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 123.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.