What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 03 Nov 2024 → 15 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 04 Dec 2013 → 02 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 22 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 06 Jan 2026 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 May 2025 → 03 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 26 May 2019 → 30 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 03 May 2026 → 29 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 15 May 2012 → 22 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 18 Jan 2010 → 16 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 11 Sep 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 466 | 124 | 26.6% | 4 | 12 |
| Serie B | 248 | 73 | 29.4% | 2 | 15 |
| Coppa Italia | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2019 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2018 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2016 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2011 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 7 |
| 2010 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 4 |
| 2008 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 494 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), US Sassuolo drew 124 where the draw model expected 124.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.