What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 24 May 1964 → 06 Sep 1964 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 27 Apr 1970 → 12 Aug 1970 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 04 May 1952 → 24 Aug 1952 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 28 Apr 1963 → 29 Jul 1963 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 14 Jun 1997 → 17 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 26 Apr 1997 → 08 Jun 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 12 Jun 1974 → 18 Aug 1974 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 01 Aug 1953 → 11 Oct 1953 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 May 1972 → 26 Jun 1972 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 25 Jun 1969 → 31 Aug 1969 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 332 | 84 | 25.3% | 7 | 11 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 325 | 51 | 15.7% | 1 | 7 |
| 1. divisjon | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 0 | 17 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 9 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1972 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1971 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1970 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 15 |
| 1969 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 1968 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1967 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1966 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1965 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 1964 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 16 |
| 1963 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 1962 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1961 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1956 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1955 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 1954 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 1953 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 1952 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 13 |
| 1951 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1950 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 1949 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 1948 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1947 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1946 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1945 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1940 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1939 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1935 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1931 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1928 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1921 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1919 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1918 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1917 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1912 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 707 matches (Sep 1906 – Apr 2025), Sarpsborg FK drew 146 where the draw model expected 135.9 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 136.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.