Sarmiento de Junín
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 310 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Sarmiento de Junín drew 92 where the draw model expected 96.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 93.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 15 Mar 2026 → 04 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 30 Aug 2015 → 23 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 May 2021 → 20 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 20 May 2017 → 04 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 26 Jan 2026 → 03 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 25 Aug 2025 → 24 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 02 Mar 2024 → 10 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 09 Jul 2022 → 16 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 14 Mar 2015 → 30 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 01 May 2022 → 19 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 241 | 71 | 29.5% | 2 | 15 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 7 | 7 |
| Copa Argentina | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | 17 |
| 2025 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2016 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 07 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Oct 22:30 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 17:30 |
Club Atlético Aldosivi
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 22:00 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Club Atlético Tigre
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.