What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 15 Mar 2026 → 04 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 30 Aug 2015 → 22 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 May 2021 → 20 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 20 May 2017 → 04 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 25 Jan 2026 → 03 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 25 Aug 2025 → 24 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 02 Mar 2024 → 10 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 08 Jul 2022 → 16 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 14 Mar 2015 → 30 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 30 Apr 2022 → 18 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 245 | 73 | 29.8% | 2 | 15 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 7 | 7 |
| Copa Argentina | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 17 |
| 2025 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2016 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 314 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Sarmiento de Junín drew 94 where the draw model expected 98.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 95.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.