What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 29 May 2014 → 13 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 13 Aug 2023 → 26 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 05 Sep 2022 → 02 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 27 Nov 2016 → 14 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 Sep 2015 → 21 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 02 Jun 2019 → 18 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 24 Nov 2018 → 02 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 14 Apr 2018 → 03 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 29 May 2016 → 03 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 21 Sep 2014 → 22 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 527 | 149 | 28.3% | 0 | 14 |
| Copa do Brasil | 86 | 19 | 22.1% | 0 | 11 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 2025 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2022 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2021 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 5 |
| 2020 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2018 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2016 | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2014 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 17 |
| 2013 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2012 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 480 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Santos drew 129 where the draw model expected 134.7 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 129.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.