What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 434 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Sanfrecce Hiroshima drew 105 where the draw model expected 111.6 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 105.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 Mar 2023 → 01 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 23 Jul 2016 → 24 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 29 Mar 2025 → 11 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 09 Mar 2019 → 14 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 31 Mar 2018 → 18 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 05 Jul 2024 → 11 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 11 Jul 2015 → 12 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 22 Sep 2024 → 23 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 28 Aug 2013 → 26 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 21 May 2022 → 06 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 497 | 122 | 24.6% | 4 | 16 |
| Emperor's Cup | 117 | 18 | 15.4% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 2024 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 17 |
| 2022 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 13 |
| 2018 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 15 |
| 2015 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 7 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1956 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
