San Lorenzo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 421 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), San Lorenzo drew 140 where the draw model expected 132.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 127.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 Mar 2017 → 20 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 20 Dec 2014 → 02 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 24 Aug 2019 → 09 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 08 Oct 2022 → 25 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 11 Oct 2021 → 30 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 12 Mar 2016 → 14 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 04 May 2014 → 01 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 14 Oct 2017 → 27 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Oct 2014 → 05 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 30 Dec 2020 → 28 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 417 | 131 | 31.4% | 1 | 19 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 66 | 29 | 43.9% | 0 | 6 |
| Copa Argentina | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 5 |
| 2025 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2024 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2023 | 46 | 20 | 43.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 42 | 20 | 47.6% | 4 |
| 2021 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2020 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 10 |
| 2018 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 15 |
| 2016 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2013 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 17:45 |
Defensa y Justicia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.4% |
|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 17:45 |
San Lorenzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 34.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Estudiantes de La Plata
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
San Lorenzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Vélez Sarsfield
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
San Lorenzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.