What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 Jul 2025 → 28 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 31 May 2024 → 14 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 May 2013 → 18 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 10 Aug 2019 → 06 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 24 Feb 2024 → 21 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 Jun 2019 → 27 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 24 Jun 2017 → 05 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 23 Oct 2016 → 01 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 16 Apr 2021 → 29 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 505 | 138 | 27.3% | 1 | 21 |
| US Open Cup | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 2023 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2018 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 2016 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 12 |
| 2012 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 433 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), San Jose Earthquakes drew 117 where the draw model expected 107.4 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 108.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.