What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 03 Feb 2020 → 29 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 06 Jan 2022 → 16 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 26 Jan 2019 → 28 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 05 Oct 2008 → 21 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 08 Feb 1998 → 26 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Sep 2007 → 12 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Oct 2022 → 28 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 17 Oct 2021 → 16 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 06 Dec 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 24 Sep 2017 → 03 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 922 | 248 | 26.9% | 1 | 16 |
| Serie B | 318 | 110 | 34.6% | 2 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 57 | 11 | 19.3% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2025 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 2022 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 15 |
| 2021 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2020 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 16 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 14 |
| 2018 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2017 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2016 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2015 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 2014 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2011 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2010 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 5 |
| 2009 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2007 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 12 |
| 2006 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 8 |
| 2004 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2003 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 4 |
| 2001 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 1999 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 1997 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 1996 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 1995 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 1994 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1989 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 488 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), UC Sampdoria drew 121 where the draw model expected 130.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 136.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.