What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 167 matches (Jul 2017 – Aug 2026), Sambenedettese drew 61 where the draw model expected 53.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 49.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 02 Dec 2020 → 03 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 20 Sep 2025 → 02 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 06 Aug 2017 → 08 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 07 Apr 2019 → 05 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 31 Mar 2018 → 29 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 08 Feb 2026 → 22 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 03 Apr 2021 → 18 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 04 Mar 2026 → 14 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 17 Feb 2021 → 27 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 23 Sep 2020 → 04 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 160 | 58 | 36.3% | 2 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 27 | 12 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 2018 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
