What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 21 Mar 2021 → 18 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 30 Mar 2025 → 24 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 02 Apr 2019 → 22 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 23 Oct 2004 → 09 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 26 May 2002 → 10 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 05 Mar 2026 → 26 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 13 Apr 2010 → 08 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 08 Feb 2002 → 12 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 16 Sep 2001 → 18 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 30 Nov 2021 → 23 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 638 | 192 | 30.1% | 8 | 12 |
| Serie A | 148 | 44 | 29.7% | 0 | 8 |
| Serie C | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 | 9 |
| Coppa Italia | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 14 |
| 2024 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 5 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 15 |
| 2020 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2017 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 5 |
| 2016 | 44 | 21 | 47.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 7 |
| 2008 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% | 2 |
| 2004 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2003 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2002 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 2001 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2000 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 1999 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 1997 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 3 |
Over 452 matches (Aug 2015 – Apr 2026), US Salernitana 1919 drew 140 where the draw model expected 129.1 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 136.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.