What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 05 Mar 2000 → 14 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 21 Jul 1995 → 25 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 04 Sep 2015 → 06 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 08 Nov 1992 → 25 May 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 04 Jun 2025 → 29 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 20 Jun 2004 → 17 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 15 Sep 1996 → 14 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 08 Sep 2023 → 21 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 08 Sep 2024 → 17 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 25 Mar 2021 → 02 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 66 | 8 | 12.1% | 2 | 12 |
| Windward Islands Tournament | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 0 | 4 |
| Friendly | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 2 | 4 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 1 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 5 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Series | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Gold Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 14 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 4 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
Over 242 matches (Jan 1961 – Oct 2026), Saint Vincent and the Grenadines drew 52 where the draw model expected 51.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 52.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.