What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 14 Jul 2002 → 30 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 09 Sep 1999 → 19 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 20 Nov 2022 → 15 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 02 May 2014 → 12 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 07 May 1995 → 17 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 06 Sep 2024 → 18 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 08 Jul 2011 → 07 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 20 May 2006 → 01 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 22 Jun 1997 → 22 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 11 Nov 1973 → 29 Nov 1973 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 58 | 8 | 13.8% | 3 | 9 |
| Windward Islands Tournament | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 0 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | 2 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 6 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA Series | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2017 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2010 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2000 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1995 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 234 matches (Jan 1938 – Oct 2026), Saint Lucia drew 33 where the draw model expected 51.2 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 2.9 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 51.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.