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LCA · National Team
Saint Lucia
Saint Lucia national football team
Played
234
Draw %
14.1%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
12
14 Jul 2002 → 30 Mar 2003
Avg top run
7.8
top 10
Draw debt E
0.54
p50
14.0%
p100
13.0%
Draw score
0.232
rank #626
Draws
33
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,328
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,602
reached 29 Apr 1993
Rank
#291
of 336 national teams
Matches rated
230
last 27 Mar 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 234 matches (Jan 1938 – Oct 2026), Saint Lucia drew 33 where the draw model expected 51.1 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 2.9 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 51.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
14 Jul 2002 → 30 Mar 2003
2 11
09 Sep 1999 → 19 Mar 2000
3 10
20 Nov 2022 → 15 Oct 2023
4 8
02 May 2014 → 12 Oct 2014
5 7
07 May 1995 → 17 Mar 1996
6 6
06 Sep 2024 → 18 Nov 2024
7 6
08 Jul 2011 → 07 Oct 2011
8 6
20 May 2006 → 01 Oct 2006
9 6
22 Jun 1997 → 22 Mar 1998
10 6
11 Nov 1973 → 29 Nov 1973
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 14 Jul 2002 → 30 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 09 Sep 1999 → 19 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 20 Nov 2022 → 15 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 02 May 2014 → 12 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 07 May 1995 → 17 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 06 Sep 2024 → 18 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 08 Jul 2011 → 07 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 20 May 2006 → 01 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 22 Jun 1997 → 22 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 11 Nov 1973 → 29 Nov 1973 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 58 | 8 | 13.8% | 3 | 9 |
| Windward Islands Tournament | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 0 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | 2 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 6 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA Series | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2017 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2010 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2000 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1995 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Matches
all results ›
234 matches · page 1 / 6
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