What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 24 Nov 2001 → 09 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 27 Mar 2007 → 28 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 03 Dec 2005 → 14 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 18 Apr 2006 → 28 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 26 Sep 2009 → 21 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 04 Nov 2006 → 30 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 17 Aug 2010 → 11 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 08 Apr 2008 → 24 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 01 Nov 2007 → 08 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 30 Oct 2004 → 08 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 228 | 67 | 29.4% | 3 | 10 |
| League Two | 184 | 54 | 29.3% | 4 | 14 |
| League One | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 4 | 7 |
| FA Cup | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 1 | 2 |
| League Cup | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2009 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2008 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2007 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 10 |
| 2006 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2005 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2001 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 495 matches (Nov 1995 – Apr 2011), Rushden & Diamonds drew 140 where the draw model expected 134.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 129.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.