What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 29 Oct 2025 → 05 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 01 Aug 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 09 Dec 2024 → 07 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 19 May 2024 → 30 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 21 Feb 2021 → 11 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 02 Mar 2024 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 05 Mar 2023 → 02 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 24 Aug 2022 → 09 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 17 Sep 2021 → 01 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 14 May 2026 → 24 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 163 | 54 | 33.1% | 3 | 12 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 11 |
| 2024 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% | 6 |
| 2023 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2021 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 6 |
| 2020 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 177 matches (Aug 2018 – Aug 2026), Rukh Lviv drew 56 where the draw model expected 47.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 44.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.