What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 30 Oct 2021 → 09 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Jul 2012 → 07 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 28 Feb 2021 → 08 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 26 Apr 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 21 Jul 2019 → 21 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 12 Apr 2025 → 20 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 17 Oct 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 12 Sep 2016 → 05 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Jul 2015 → 30 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Nov 2025 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 392 | 111 | 28.3% | 2 | 16 |
| UEFA Europa League | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 1 | 11 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2025 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2023 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 10 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 9 |
| 2018 | 27 | 16 | 59.3% | 2 |
| 2017 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 10 |
| 2016 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2013 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 27 | 3 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 332 matches (Mar 2015 – Aug 2026), Rubin Kazan drew 95 where the draw model expected 91.4 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 85.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.