What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 02 Apr 2021 → 14 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 08 Jul 2024 → 31 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 03 Feb 2024 → 09 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 07 Apr 2017 → 21 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 30 Nov 2016 → 25 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 18 Oct 2015 → 17 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 15 Feb 2022 → 03 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 25 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 29 Dec 2020 → 20 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 16 Mar 2018 → 05 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 383 | 124 | 32.4% | 4 | 9 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 70 | 17 | 24.3% | 0 | 11 |
| Copa Argentina | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 2 | 8 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 2024 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2023 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 4 |
| 2022 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2020 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 29 | 15 | 51.7% | 5 |
| 2018 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2013 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 432 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Rosario Central drew 139 where the draw model expected 132.8 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 130.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.