What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 04 Nov 2016 → 09 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 26 | 19 Apr 2025 → 20 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 09 Mar 2014 → 27 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 29 Sep 2012 → 16 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 26 Oct 2025 → 18 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Nov 2006 → 10 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 04 Aug 2021 → 21 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 19 May 2013 → 31 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 Feb 2012 → 25 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Mar 2010 → 16 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 1220 | 317 | 26.0% | 2 | 27 |
| UEFA Europa League | 196 | 42 | 21.4% | 1 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 113 | 27 | 23.9% | 3 | 17 |
| Coppa Italia | 59 | 7 | 11.9% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 0 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 58 | 6 | 10.3% | 26 |
| 2024 | 60 | 18 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 62 | 15 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 60 | 16 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 65 | 12 | 18.5% | 13 |
| 2020 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 54 | 6 | 11.1% | 19 |
| 2016 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 8 |
| 2014 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 19 |
| 2013 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2012 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 14 |
| 2011 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 12 |
| 2009 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2008 | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | 12 |
| 2007 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 13 |
| 2005 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 4 |
| 2003 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2002 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2001 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 12 |
| 1999 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 1998 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 1997 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1996 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 1994 | 32 | 15 | 46.9% | 4 |
| 1993 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1992 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1988 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1970 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1963 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1962 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 656 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), AS Roma drew 151 where the draw model expected 153.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 167.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.