What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 13 Sep 2019 → 10 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 May 2024 → 18 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 25 Feb 2023 → 22 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 05 Sep 2026 → 30 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 03 Jan 2025 → 14 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 02 Oct 2021 → 03 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 05 Feb 2021 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 29 Aug 2025 → 26 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 13 Apr 2024 → 03 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 16 Sep 2023 → 07 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 259 | 91 | 35.1% | 7 | 14 |
| Coupe de France | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 13 | 48.2% | 4 |
| 2019 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 13 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 270 matches (Jul 2019 – Oct 2026), Rodez AF drew 94 where the draw model expected 81.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 82.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.