What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 09 Apr 2022 → 19 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 27 Dec 2020 → 20 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 11 Dec 1994 → 05 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 07 Nov 1993 → 30 Jan 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 17 Dec 2022 → 20 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 20 Apr 1997 → 07 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 02 Apr 1995 → 28 May 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 29 Nov 2025 → 24 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 29 Mar 2025 → 13 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 01 Apr 2024 → 05 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 228 | 70 | 30.7% | 2 | 11 |
| Serie C | 126 | 37 | 29.4% | 0 | 12 |
| Serie A | 102 | 30 | 29.4% | 7 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2023 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 1998 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1997 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1996 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1995 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 1994 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 1993 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 6 |
Over 292 matches (Aug 2015 – May 2026), AC Reggiana 1919 drew 87 where the draw model expected 89.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 89.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.