What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 29 Apr 2017 → 04 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 04 Aug 2012 → 11 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 31 Oct 2021 → 19 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 24 Nov 2019 → 07 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 17 Apr 2026 → 05 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 23 Sep 2023 → 03 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 09 May 2021 → 29 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 10 Aug 2025 → 01 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 16 Apr 2016 → 10 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 05 Aug 2013 → 21 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 354 | 103 | 29.1% | 2 | 11 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 306 | 83 | 27.1% | 1 | 13 |
| Regionalliga Bayern | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 6 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 2022 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2020 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2018 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 19 |
| 2016 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2015 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2013 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 14 |
| 2011 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 7 |
| 2010 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2009 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2008 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 7 |
Over 435 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Jahn Regensburg drew 112 where the draw model expected 115.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 117.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.