What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 19 Feb 2016 → 22 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 29 Aug 2026 → 02 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 24 Feb 2017 → 28 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 27 Feb 1999 → 07 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 15 Aug 2025 → 29 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Dec 1997 → 11 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 24 Aug 2018 → 05 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 22 Aug 1998 → 23 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 14 Feb 2025 → 14 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 25 Oct 2024 → 22 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 314 | 96 | 30.6% | 8 | 12 |
| Coupe de France | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2025 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2015 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 1998 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 5 |
| 1996 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 3 |
Over 207 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Red Star drew 55 where the draw model expected 62.1 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 62.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.