What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 04 Aug 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 01 Apr 2017 → 19 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 11 Jul 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 09 Mar 2019 → 11 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 10 Mar 2018 → 09 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Jul 2025 → 11 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 22 Feb 2025 → 03 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 02 Apr 2016 → 02 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 04 Apr 2026 → 16 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 26 Aug 2023 → 07 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 523 | 125 | 23.9% | 4 | 19 |
| US Open Cup | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 8 |
| 2025 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2024 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2023 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 19 |
| 2020 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 15 |
| 2018 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 15 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 19 |
| 2016 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 17 |
| 2014 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2012 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 439 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Real Salt Lake drew 104 where the draw model expected 112.6 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 110.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.