What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 01 Apr 2006 → 17 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 17 Aug 2012 → 28 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 18 Aug 2013 → 20 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Mar 2007 → 27 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 19 Jan 2013 → 03 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 02 Sep 2006 → 14 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 01 Feb 1997 → 15 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 18 Jan 2014 → 23 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 16 Mar 2013 → 21 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 10 Dec 2006 → 20 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 206 | 43 | 20.9% | 4 | 12 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2012 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 11 |
| 2007 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2005 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1997 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 1996 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
Over 210 matches (Sep 1996 – Aug 2026), Real Madrid Castilla drew 46 where the draw model expected 60.9 from those particular fixtures — about 15 fewer, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 62.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.