What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 01 Nov 2011 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 18 Oct 2016 → 31 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 28 Jan 2003 → 04 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 07 Feb 1998 → 08 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 24 Apr 2004 → 25 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Oct 2001 → 08 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 02 Jan 1995 → 21 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 17 Aug 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 30 Jul 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 11 Mar 2017 → 08 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1012 | 258 | 25.5% | 1 | 21 |
| League One | 381 | 106 | 27.8% | 0 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 344 | 98 | 28.5% | 0 | 5 |
| League Cup | 189 | 47 | 24.9% | 2 | 4 |
| Premier League | 114 | 23 | 20.2% | 3 | 13 |
| Club Friendlies | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 3 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 6 |
| 2025 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 13 |
| 2023 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 11 |
| 2019 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2016 | 59 | 14 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 58 | 15 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 2014 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2012 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 11 |
| 2007 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2006 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 11 |
| 2005 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 2004 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 2003 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 19 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2001 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2000 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 19 |
| 1997 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 1996 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 7 |
| 1995 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 14 |
| 1994 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 1993 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 10 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1989 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1986 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1978 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1973 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1926 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1904 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1901 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1886 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1882 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1881 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1880 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1878 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1877 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 619 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Reading drew 164 where the draw model expected 168.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 164.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.