What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 01 May 2026 → 11 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 05 Jun 2016 → 30 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 26 May 2019 → 20 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 10 Aug 2025 → 02 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 28 Apr 2002 → 19 Jun 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 05 Aug 2001 → 28 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 07 May 1998 → 05 Jul 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Jul 2021 → 29 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 18 Apr 2004 → 13 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 01 Jul 1957 → 20 Oct 1957 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 497 | 98 | 19.7% | 4 | 22 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 247 | 46 | 18.6% | 3 | 5 |
| Eliteserien | 104 | 24 | 23.1% | 4 | 8 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | 24 |
| 2025 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 13 |
| 2024 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2023 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2022 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2020 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 19 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 20 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 12 |
| 2003 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 13 |
| 2001 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2000 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 1999 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 7 |
| 1998 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 13 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1976 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 9 |
| 1973 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 5 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1960 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1959 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1958 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 1957 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1951 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1934 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 298 matches (Apr 2015 – Nov 2026), Raufoss IL drew 60 where the draw model expected 63.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 62.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.