What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 26 Sep 2020 → 08 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 04 Aug 2019 → 03 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 Jul 2025 → 19 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 16 Oct 2016 → 05 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 16 Aug 2015 → 21 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 24 Nov 2018 → 31 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 02 Aug 2026 → 11 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 21 Nov 2021 → 24 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 14 Jul 2012 → 16 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 26 Oct 2017 → 10 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 481 | 130 | 27.0% | 1 | 13 |
| Danish Cup | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2025 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2024 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2020 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 14 |
| 2019 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 15 |
| 2018 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2017 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2014 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2013 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2012 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2009 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 457 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Randers FC drew 124 where the draw model expected 118.2 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.